Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227402          16          48          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000823324          12          46          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.69806e-07          11          53          30           6           0        B7.5
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            13.00       51.00       30.75        5.25        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4