Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227079          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818645          17          44          30           9           0        B6.1
GOES Xray  =   1.05802e-07           7          58          32           3           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                            11.00       49.00       33.25        6.75        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      B6.9