Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226816          19          47          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000816151          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   6.95770e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                            13.50       51.75       28.25        6.50        0.00     B5.2
 
realized                                                                                      B3.3