Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226830          19          47          30           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000816157          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   6.99133e-08          13          69          17           1           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                            14.25       53.50       27.25        5.00        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.4