Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226665          21          46          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812620          18          44          29           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   5.60758e-08          31          62           7           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            19.50       51.50       24.75        4.25        0.00     B3.8
 
realized                                                                                      B6.2