Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226298          22          45          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000804063          19          43          32           6           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   3.58784e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            38.25       41.00       18.25        2.50        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.7