Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226489          22          45          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000803093          19          43          31           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   4.84101e-08          48          46           5           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.00       43.50       18.75        2.75        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      M3.9