Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226717          20          46          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000812783          18          44          29           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   5.71374e-08          30          62           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            21.50       52.75       21.75        4.00        0.00     B3.0
 
realized                                                                                      B3.4