Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226325          22          45          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000806470          20          43          31           6           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   3.76808e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            29.00       46.25       21.50        3.25        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5