Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226346          22          45          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000807329          20          43          32           5           0        B5.2
GOES Xray  =   3.90300e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            29.25       47.75       20.00        3.00        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.5