Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226371          22          44          31           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000810034          18          44          31           7           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   3.00141e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            30.00       46.50       20.25        3.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.9