Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226462          21          45          31           3           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000813704          18          44          29           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   3.26382e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            29.00       47.50       19.50        4.00        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)