Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227027          17          47          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000827509          13          46          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   7.20592e-08          11          70          17           2           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.00       50.75       23.25        3.00        0.00     B3.1
 
realized                                                                                      B4.3