Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226958          18          48          31           3           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819536          15          44          32           9           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   8.23471e-08           6          66          25           3           0        B4.0
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            15.25       54.00       26.50        4.25        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4