Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226842          19          48          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000816567          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   7.14288e-08          13          68          17           2           0        B2.8
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            16.75       56.00       22.75        4.50        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B4.8