Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227137          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000822934          13          45          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.04452e-07           7          56          34           3           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                            11.25       50.75       33.00        5.00        0.00     B5.8
 
realized                                                                                      B5.2