Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227502          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000829710          14          44          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.39700e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            14.25       53.25       28.50        4.00        0.00     B5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C9.4