Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227435          17          47          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000829889          14          44          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.33821e-07           7          62          30           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            22.00       48.50       26.25        3.25        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7