Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227064          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000826220          13          46          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   8.41496e-08           7          62          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            13.25       54.75       28.00        4.00        0.00     B4.5
 
realized                                                                                      B3.7