Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226759          19          46          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000818945          17          44          30           9           0        B6.1
GOES Xray  =   5.39614e-08          33          58           8           1           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            22.75       51.50       21.75        4.00        0.00     B3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6