Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226737          20          46          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817645          18          45          28           9           0        B5.5
GOES Xray  =   4.88581e-08          47          46           6           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            25.50       50.00       20.25        4.25        0.00     B2.9
 
realized                                                                                      B5.7