Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226683          21          46          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000816730          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   4.71338e-08          52          44           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            24.75       47.50       22.75        5.00        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.2