Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226744          19          46          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820044          15          43          33           9           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.79308e-08          51          44           4           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            23.25       47.00       24.75        5.00        0.00     B3.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.6