Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227459          17          47          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000836630          14          48          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.09783e-07           7          55          36           2           0        B5.8
est. ISN   =            30           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                            10.75       49.00       35.00        5.25        0.00     B6.7
 
realized                                                                                      B3.5