Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227570          16          49          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000842091          13          47          33           7           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   8.44970e-08           6          62          29           3           0        B4.2
est. ISN   =            12          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            14.00       54.00       28.00        4.00        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      B2.1