Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227663          17          47          32           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000843079          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.53443e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =             4          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            23.00       50.75       23.00        3.25        0.00     B3.3
 
realized                                                                                      B2.4