Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226993          18          47          32           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000825099          13          46          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.17450e-08          38          54           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            30.00       46.75       20.50        2.75        0.00     B2.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)