Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226862          18          49          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000822666          13          45          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.28832e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            32.25       44.00       20.00        3.75        0.00     B2.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)