Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226935          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000824632          13          44          35           8           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   4.20280e-08          55          41           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            34.00       43.75       19.25        3.00        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)