Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227354          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000832435          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.73189e-08          15          68          16           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            24.25       50.25       22.50        3.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.2