Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227861          16          47          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000852549          13          49          35           3           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   8.60279e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.2
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            21.25       50.00       26.25        2.50        0.00     B3.9
 
realized                                                                                      B7.8