Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227756          16          47          33           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000851498          13          49          35           3           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.25758e-07           7          63          30           0           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.75       49.75       26.75        1.75        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4