Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227799          15          47          34           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000852825          13          49          35           3           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   1.21184e-07           8          59          33           0           0        B5.7
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.75       48.75       27.75        1.75        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8