Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228233          15          41          41           3           0        B6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000865093          11          48          37           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.09355e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            12.75       52.25       32.25        2.75        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7