Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228615          11          43          42           4           0        B7.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000868103          12          45          39           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.46508e-07          12          62          25           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             9.75       49.00       36.00        5.25        0.00     B7.2
 
realized                                                                                      B8.6