Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229143          13          40          41           6           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000875183          12          44          39           5           0        B7.4
GOES Xray  =   2.15574e-07           2          43          49           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            36           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             8.50       44.75       40.00        6.75        0.00     B8.9
 
realized                                                                                      X1.5