Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228064          14          46          37           3           0        B6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000855830          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.39600e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            13.50       55.25       29.00        2.25        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      B6.8