Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227382          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000835105          15          45          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   8.46374e-08           6          62          29           3           0        B4.2
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            15.00       53.25       27.75        4.00        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      B3.3