Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226581          22          47          27           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000816145          18          45          28           9           0        B5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.45223e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            29.25       48.25       18.25        4.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B2.1