Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226856          18          49          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820516          14          43          33          10           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   4.01341e-08          56          41           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            29.25       46.00       20.50        4.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B6.7