Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227207          17          47          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000832149          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.02785e-08          43          50           6           1           0        B1.3
est. ISN   =            27           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                            20.25       48.25       26.75        4.75        0.00     B4.3
 
realized                                                                                      B7.8