Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227902          15          47          34           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000847849          12          50          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.09056e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            27           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                            10.00       51.25       33.75        5.00        0.00     B6.3
 
realized                                                                                      B9.7