Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229269          13          40          40           7           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000874144          12          46          37           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.00082e-07           3          45          47           5           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.75       46.50       39.00        5.75        0.00     B8.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0