Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229956          12          39          40           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000890479           4          45          43           8           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   2.45284e-07           4          36          52           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            39           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             6.25       41.75       44.00        7.75        0.25     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3