Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229472          12          40          40           8           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000896671           5          46          39          10           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   1.99973e-07           3          45          47           5           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             6.00       41.50       45.00        7.00        0.50     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      B4.8