Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227142          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000835531          15          45          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.87958e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.50       42.75       18.75        3.00        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)