Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227158          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000833654          15          46          32           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.38149e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             4          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            36.00       42.50       18.50        3.00        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)