Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227353          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000837185          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   5.47227e-08          33          59           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            28.50       48.75       20.00        2.75        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.0