Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227494          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000833921          15          46          32           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   8.93632e-08           5          65          26           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            16.50       52.50       26.75        4.25        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)