Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226882          18          49          29           4           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000823250          12          46          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.40655e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            24.75       50.75       20.50        4.00        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)